CHINESE LADAKH TRANSGRESSION & RAMIFICATIONS

China after conducting its exercises in Tibet, rather than de induct to mainland moved it closer to Indo - Tibet border. Huge force level had two Motorised divisions plus all or-batted units required to wage war.

China amassed its forces at Depsang plain just across DBO & Galwan valley just across Shyok - Gulwan river junction. Experts have opined that the movement by the Chinese at the Depsang plains was serious. People's Liberation Army is close to a place known as Bottleneck. This is the Rakki and Jeewan rivulets are where there was a stand-off in 2013.

Its believed that any movement westwards by the PLA can threaten the Dabruk-Shyok-DBO road and the airfield. Further movement of additional PLA troops over the past one week at the Depsang plains, further north of Galwan towards the Karakoram pass. This has raised concerns as the Daulat Beg Oldie is less than 25 kilometres from the Chinese posts.

Chinese had also increased presence at Pangong Tso & opposite Demchok plains in defensive posture. Reportedly Chinese soldiers & allied wherewithal are already present in POK to construct dams & allied infrastructure.

Pakistan was relocating terrorists in POK Pakistan was also activating LOC almost daily with very heavy artillery shelling to engage our posts and thereby facilitate terrorist induction.

It thus emerges

Large force presence opposite Depsang plains

Significant force level in Galwan River bed & heights around, with habitat & road construction activity

Pangong Tso lake had reasonable amount of force

Across Demchok plains, Chinese were deployed to absorb any counter by Indian forces

POK had defence personnel with huge engineering equipment pre located available for any strike from Western side

Pakistan army was trying to keep LOC troops fully active with artillery firing to facilitate terrorist induction.

Chinese President Xi had declared himself as President for life & dreamed of making China into No One super power by dethroning USA. President Trump was coming down heavy on Chinese economy which was hurting China & post corona unleashing its gone worse with many MNCs moving out of China. With 300 million unemployed, massive unrest wasn’t ruled out by Xi. Chinese aggression in Hong Kong, Taiwan & South China Sea plus Ladakh was perceived by rest of the world as treacherous & untrustworthy behaviour not in harmony with civilised world values. Its threatening nations with consequences if anyone voiced opinions against China either on Corona or 5 G Chinese companies. It had really let loose its plan to usurp power whilst world was busy with corona catastrophe by using military & economic leverage.

India on the other hand was totally busy in winter stocking of troops deployed in high altitude areas & fighting corona. Chinese fifth column comprising media, journalists, intellectuals, politicians & many veterans were fully active in announcing Indian army defeat & Chinese having won decisive victory by occupying huge chunks of strategic territory. And many not only disbelieved Indian version but tried best to discredit Indian version by misinterpreting satellite imageries or quoting reliable sourced on conditions on anonymity. China support was full & Indian govt the punching bag till nationalists punctured the narrative & truth emerged albeit slowly.

In fact complete free world was totally fighting Chinese unleashed corona rather unsuccessfully with WHO contributing to misery through misinformation by behaving like Chinese pawn.

By end May Chinese stage was set to unfold its grand strategy of expansionism through salami slicing in Ladakh. Interdict DBO road around Galwan. Using Depsang force to capture DBO/deny airfield thereafter link up with Shaksham valley/POK whilst maintaining pressure at Pangong Tso & Demchok. POK based military force starts operation from West to join Depsang plain thrust. With DBO captured/isolated Indian position & military situation would have been precarious with defeat as the only option. The terminal state would have been ore humiliating than 62 defeat.

The plan couldn’t succeed for two reasons, one is super fast build up by India using road & air resources. Second was extremely gallant action by 16 Bihar on 15/16 Jun & reasonably stubborn response in Pangong Tso earlier. 16 BIHAR Galwan action though tactical in nature had massive strategic ramifications with condemnation world wide & the tide turned.

Strong response by PM & USA, Russia & rest of free world standing with India checkmated Chinese design totally. In fact focus shifted to South China Sea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Uighur & Tibet.

However, this withdrawal or whatever one wishes to call it, as temporary, Chinese transgressions shall continue till LAC defined, which China is disinterested. Hasn’t given maps of its perception & our babudom completed twenty plus rounds of talks. Poodle faking. India must be prepared for such Chinese actions till it gives a befitting reply. India can’t match China militarily or economically thus need to get into alliance of like minded nations to counter China.

India could undertake following steps to counter untrustworthy neighbour hell bent on consuming large areas belonging to weaker nations. Suggested actions given below

Force permanent deployment on LAC by Chinese

ITBP under local operational commander

Relocate Tibetans from McLeod Ganj to Ladakh

Due respectability to HH Dalai Lama

Demand Tibet being independent Country

Raise Uighur human rights issue; support Taiwan & other nations in that area

Get into strategic economic & military alliance against China to counter its expansionism on land & sea

Let Indian companies take on infrastructure contracts even if slightly costlier

Replace China worldwide as manufacturing destination

Curtail fifth columnists or those openly supporting China but belittling India

Baluchistan & POK must be addressed to curtail Pakistan terror

China should be debarred from permanent membership of UNSC

Debar China from Tokyo Olympics 2021

China has a dream of its position & aims to achieve at any cost. Its failed attempt of 2020 has been an unmitigated blunder. Its lost too much of trust but be rest assured China is a nation focussed on its national interests, values or methods are inconsequential. India whilst developing itself economically & militarily must get into economic & strategic alliance to safeguard our future interests.